UIA

Urban Intelligence & Analytics

Understanding cities to build better futures

Cities are living, breathing systems. Every day, millions of people make choices about where to live, how to travel, where to work, and how to spend their time. These individual decisions interact with infrastructure, policies, and the environment in complex ways — often producing outcomes no one planned.

Urban Intelligence and Analytics exists to make sense of this complexity.

We use data, computer models, and artificial intelligence to understand how cities work, how they change over time, and how policy decisions can lead to better outcomes for people and places. Our aim is simple: to help decision-makers explore what might happen before choices are locked in.

What do we do?

We build realistic computer simulations of cities and their populations, allowing us to explore how urban systems interact. We are currently involved in a number of projects exploring how housing, transport, energy, health, and the environment interact. A large part of our work involves the development of agent-based models, microsimulation and synthetic population generation.

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Projects

We are involved in a number of ongoing projects

Publications (From 2023)

2026

Lomax, Nik, Rice, Hugh, Hoehn, Andreas, Hughes, Ceri, Heppenstall, Alison, Elsenbroich, Corinna and Meier, Petra (2026) An inclusive economy classification of British Local Authority Districts and assessment of its association with life expectancy and lifespan variation. Population, Space and Place, 32(1), e70151. (doi: 10.1002/psp.70151)

Feng, Zixin , Zhao, Qunshan and Heppenstall, Alison (2026) Exploring the influencing factors of public electric vehicle charger usage in Great Britain. Journal of Transport Geography, 134, 104667. (doi: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2026.104667)

Feng, Zixin , Zhao, Qunshan and Heppenstall, Alison (2026) Using agent-based models to simulate the electric vehicle driving behaviours in Great Britain. Cities, 172, 106864. (doi: 10.1016/j.cities.2026.106864)

2025

Birkin, Mark, Ballantyne, Patrick, Bullock, Seth, Heppenstall, Alison, Kwon, Heeseo, Malleson, Nick, Yao, Jing and Zanchetta, Anna (2025) Digital twins and AI for healthy and sustainable cities. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 120, 102305. (doi: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2025.102305)

Rice, Hugh P., Hoehn, Andreas, Meier, Petra, Heppenstall, Alison and Lomax, Nik (2025) An inclusive economy dataset for wards in Great Britain using administrative and synthetic data sources. Scientific Data, 12(1), 1230. (doi: 10.1038/s41597-025-05502-x) (PMID:40664712) (PMCID:PMC12264001)

Hjelmskog, Annika, Boyd, Jennifer, Stevenson, Amy, Pollack, Roxana, Elsenbroich, Corinna, Heppenstall, Alison, Toney, Jaime, Winterbottom, Jo and Meier, Petra (2025) The effect of climate mitigation and adaptation policies on health and health inequalities: a systematic review. Lancet Planetary Health, 9(7), 101277. (doi: 10.1016/j.lanplh.2025.06.001) (PMID:40645199)

Richards, Thomas C., Heppenstall, Alison, Oldroyd, Rachel A., Barr, Victoria and Beecham, Roger (2025) Using OpenPrescribing.net to evaluate neighbourhood-level prescribing of inhalers for asthma and COPD. Scientific Reports, 15, 18089. (doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-02969-x) (PMID:40413267) (PMCID:PMC12103567)

Gamal, Yahya, Heppenstall, Alison, Strachan, William, Colasanti, Ricardo and Zia, Kashif (2025) An analysis of spatial and temporal uncertainty propagation in agent-based models. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 383(2293), 20240229. (doi: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0229)(PMID:40172560) (PMCID:PMC12105802)

Kakampakou, Lydia, Stokes, Jonathan, Hoehn, Andreas, de Kamps, Marc, Lawniczak, Wiktoria, Arnold, Kellyn F., Hensor, Elizabeth M.A., Heppenstall, Alison J. and Gilthorpe, Mark S. (2025) Simulating hierarchical data to assess the utility of ecological versus multilevel analyses in obtaining individual-level causal effects. BMC Medical Research Methodology, 25, 79. (doi: 10.1186/s12874-025-02504-6) (PMID:40121398) (PMCID:PMC11929225)

2024

Pollack, R. et al. (2024) How could 20-minute neighbourhoods impact health and health inequalities? A policy scoping review. BMC Public Health, 24, 3426. (doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-20928-5) (PMID:39696117) (PMCID:PMC11653922)

Bullock, S. et al. (2024) Artificial intelligence for collective intelligence: A national-scale research strategy. Knowledge Engineering Review, 39, e10. (doi: 10.1017/S0269888924000110)

Olmez, Sedar, Heppenstall, Alison, Ge, Jiaqi, Elsenbroich, Corinna and Birks, Dan (2024) Mitigating housing market shocks: an agent-based reinforcement learning approach with implications for real-time decision support. Journal of Simulation, 18(6), pp. 921-939. (doi: 10.1080/17477778.2024.2375446) (PMID:39691552) (PMCID:PMC11649216)

Gamal, Yahya, Elsenbroich, Corinna, Gilbert, Nigel, Heppenstall, Alison and Zia, Kashif (2024) A behavioural agent-based model for housing markets: impact of financial shocks in the UK. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 27(4), 5. (doi: 10.18564/jasss.5518)

Squires, H. et al. (2024) The PHEM-B toolbox of methods for incorporating the influences on Behaviour into Public Health Economic Models. BMC Public Health, 24(1), 2794. (doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-20225-1) (PMID:39395958)(PMCID:PMC11475213)

Olmez, Sedar, Birks, Dan, Heppenstall, Alison and Ge, Jiaqi (2024) Learning the rational choice perspective: a reinforcement learning approach to simulating offender behaviours in criminological agent-based models. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 112, 102141. (doi: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102141)

Kopasker, D. et al. (2024) Evaluating the influence of taxation and social security policies on psychological distress: a microsimulation study of the UK during the COVID-19 economic crisis. Social Science and Medicine, 351, 116953. (doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2024.116953) (PMID:38759385) (PMCID:PMC7617584)

Heppenstall, Alison, Wang, Mingshu, Demsar, Urska, Lemmens, Rob and Yao, Jing (2024) Preface. AGILE: GIScience Series, 5, 1. (doi: 10.5194/agile-giss-5-1-2024)

Brown, H. et al. (2024) Association between individual level characteristics and take-up of a Minimum Income Guarantee for Pensioners: Panel Data Analysis using data from the British Household Panel survey 1999–2002. Social Sciences & Humanities Open, 9, 100847. (doi: 10.1016/j.ssaho.2024.100847)

2023

Wijermans, Nanda, Scholz, Geeske, Chappin, Emile, Heppenstall, Alison, Filatova, Tatiana, Polhill, J. Gareth, Semeniuk, Christina and Stöppler, Frithjof (2023) Agent decision-making: the elephant in the room: enabling the justification of decision model fit in social-environmental models. Environmental Modelling and Software, 170, 105850. (doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105850)

Griffiths, C. et al. (2023) A complex systems approach to obesity: a transdisciplinary framework for action. Perspectives in Public Health, 143(6), pp. 305-309. (doi: 10.1177/17579139231180761) (PMID:37395317) (PMCID:PMC10683338)

Antosz, Patrycja, Birks, Dan, Edmonds, Bruce, Heppenstall, Alison, Meyer, Ruth, Polhill, J. Gareth, O'Sullivan, David and Wijermans, Nanda (2023) What do you want theory for? A pragmatic analysis of the roles of "theory" in agent-based modelling. Environmental Modelling and Software, 168, 105802. (doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105802)

Höhn, A. et al. (2023) Systems science methods in public health: what can they contribute to our understanding of and response to the cost-of-living crisis? Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 77(9), pp. 610-616. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2023-220435) (PMID:37328262) (PMCID:PMC10423532)

An, L. et al. (2023) Modeling agent decision and behavior in the light of data science and artificial intelligence. Environmental Modelling and Software, 166, 105713. (doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105713)

Franklin, R. S. et al. (2023) Making space in geographical analysis. Geographical Analysis, 55(2), pp. 325-341. (doi: 10.1111/gean.12325)